eISSN: None / ISSN: None
Register
Login
Netharland Journal of Critical Care
2019, Volume 27, Issue 6 : 229-233
Article
Predicting ARDS in critically ill patients: Creating a new score
 ,
 ,
 ,
Abstract
Background: We intended to create a new acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) prediction score in high-risk critically ill patients. Methods: We recruited 200 patients [63 (43-70) years, 120 (60%) males] admitted to the ICU with APACHE-II scores of ≥15 and at least one ARDS risk factor, after excluding patients with ARDS on admission, cardiac patients, and readmissions. The presence of risk factors together with the admission and 48-hour CRP (CRP-0 and CRP-48) were tested in univariate then multivariate regression models for identifying significant predictors whose weights were assigned according to the β-coefficient of the regression model. Our score was compared with the score previously proposed by Trillo-Alvarez et al. on 2011 (LIPS-T). The primary and secondary outcomes were the development of ARDS and in-hospital mortality, respectively. Results: ARDS developed in 88 patients (44%). Logistic regression revealed that pneumonia, tachypnoea, increased heart rate, and increased CRP-48 are significant ARDS predictors. The weight of each predictor was estimated according to its β-coefficient. The new score was 35.5 (27-44) and 14 (9-24.3) in ARDS and non-ARDS patients, respectively (p=0.000). The AUC of the new score was 0.827 compared with 0.74 for the LIPS-T (p=0.014). A score of 20 had a sensitivity and specificity of 82% and 71%, respectively, in predicting ARDS. Our score was significantly lower in survivors compared with non-survivors (p=0.000) and its AUC in predicting in-hospital mortality was 0.761 compared with 0.657 for the LIPS-T (p=0.0045). Conclusions: We have created a new simple LIPS score which could be better than the scores previously proposed in terms of ARDS and in-hospital mortality prediction in critically ill patients. © 2019, Netherlands Society of Intensive Care. All rights reserved.
Keywords
License
Copyright (c) Netharland Journal of Critical Care
Creative Commons Attribution License Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
All papers should be submitted electronically. All submitted manuscripts must be original work that is not under submission at another journal or under consideration for publication in another form, such as a monograph or chapter of a book. Authors of submitted papers are obligated not to submit their paper for publication elsewhere until an editorial decision is rendered on their submission. Further, authors of accepted papers are prohibited from publishing the results in other publications that appear before the paper is published in the Journal unless they receive approval for doing so from the Editor-In-Chief.
Neth. J. Crit. Care open access articles are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. This license lets the audience to give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made and if they remix, transform, or build upon the material, they must distribute contributions under the same license as the original.
Recommended Articles
Right ventricular failure: Is it relevant for the intensivist?
96-97
Neuropsychological Predictors of Violent Criminal Behavior
1-6
Postoperative renal replacement therapy after hydroxyethyl starch infusion: A meta-analysis of randomised trials
4-9
Pocus series: Focused transoesophageal echocardiography, a view from the inside
130-139
Netharland Journal of Critical Care
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives (CC BY-NC-ND) license. Open Access Publication.
Copyright © None. All rights reserved.